The investment and security deal currently being negotiated between Beijing and Tehran has provoked fears in the Indian media that China is trying to drive India out of Iran. But, in this essay for The National Interest, I argue that India’s Iranian investments are failing due to US sanctions, not Chinese expansionism.
The US and Iran have been holding quiet talks. That is good news for Afghanistan, I explain here.
My latest piece, available here, looks at allegations that Russia paid bounties to Taliban-linked militants in Afghanistan to target US and coalition forces.
My latest essay looks at the escalating rivalry between the US and China in Israel, where both states have significant interests.
My new essay for the Royal Society of Asian Affairs considers the impact of coronavirus on Afghanistan.
It has been suggested that Iran might sabotage the Afghan peace process in retaliation for the Soleimani killing. But this is unlikely, I argue here.
My latest essay asks whether rising tensions in the Middle East following the US’ recent killing of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani could benefit China. The answer: yes, but not in the way you might think.
US officials have repeatedly accused China of ‘debt-trap diplomacy’, swamping poor countries with so much debt that they have to surrender control of strategic assets. But there are almost no real-world examples of this phenomenon, I show in my latest essay.
I recently had the opportunity to interview Pakistan’s former ambassador to the US, Sherry Rehman, on the sidelines of a recent conference on Kashmir in Ankara. Read the article here.
My latest looks at China’s growing influence in Nepal, which has traditionally been dominated by India but is increasingly within Beijing’s sphere of influence.