2020 saw increased competition between India and China in the South Asia region. My new piece examines how things might play out this year.
The investment and security deal currently being negotiated between Beijing and Tehran has provoked fears in the Indian media that China is trying to drive India out of Iran. But, in this essay for The National Interest, I argue that India’s Iranian investments are failing due to US sanctions, not Chinese expansionism.
The US and Iran have been holding quiet talks. That is good news for Afghanistan, I explain here.
China and Iran are reportedly negotiating a $400 billion investment and security agreement, but the deal is far less significant than media reports suggest, I write here.
My new essay for the Royal Society of Asian Affairs considers the impact of coronavirus on Afghanistan.
It has been suggested that Iran might sabotage the Afghan peace process in retaliation for the Soleimani killing. But this is unlikely, I argue here.
My latest essay asks whether rising tensions in the Middle East following the US’ recent killing of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani could benefit China. The answer: yes, but not in the way you might think.
I recently had the opportunity to interview former Israeli PM Ehud Olmert, who spoke on a variety of topics, including domestic Israeli politics, Iran, Syria and Israel’s relationship with Pakistan. Read the story here.
I have another piece out today, on the transformation of the Afghan Taliban from an isolated, parochial group into an increasingly global movement.
My latest assesses the risk of a Saudi-Iran proxy war in Afghanistan.