My latest essay in The National Interest argues that a Taliban seizure of Afghanistan could be devastating for Pakistan.
The Sino-Indian Rivalry in 2021
2020 saw increased competition between India and China in the South Asia region. My new piece examines how things might play out this year.
COVID & Kashmir Threaten Saudi-Pakistan ‘Special Relationship’
My latest piece examines growing tensions in the relationship between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan.
No, China Is Not Driving India out of Iran
The investment and security deal currently being negotiated between Beijing and Tehran has provoked fears in the Indian media that China is trying to drive India out of Iran. But, in this essay for The National Interest, I argue that India’s Iranian investments are failing due to US sanctions, not Chinese expansionism.
Don’t Believe the Hype about China and Iran
China and Iran are reportedly negotiating a $400 billion investment and security agreement, but the deal is far less significant than media reports suggest, I write here.
US-China Rivalry in Israel
My latest essay looks at the escalating rivalry between the US and China in Israel, where both states have significant interests.
The Coronavirus Could Expand China’s Footprint in Turkey
My new piece for Middle East Eye examines China’s growing role in Turkey, which could increase still further amid the coronavirus pandemic.
The Corona Energy Crisis & Pakistan
I have some thoughts here regarding the likely impact of low energy prices on Pakistan.
Will Iran Sabotage Afghan Peace Talks? Don’t Bet On It
It has been suggested that Iran might sabotage the Afghan peace process in retaliation for the Soleimani killing. But this is unlikely, I argue here.
How US-Iran Tensions Might Benefit China
My latest essay asks whether rising tensions in the Middle East following the US’ recent killing of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani could benefit China. The answer: yes, but not in the way you might think.